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Is the COVID-19 Lockdown Working?

U.S. stocks rallied on Monday, April 6th. This, after encouraging news, emerged from Europe and New York that pointed to a downward turn in coronavirus-related deaths. So, is the lockdown working? It certainly is a positive sign. While promising, it’s important to remember that these are early signs.  A tough week is still ahead with…

By Stefano Tromba April 6, 2020
stock exchange

U.S. stocks rallied on Monday, April 6th. This, after encouraging news, emerged from Europe and New York that pointed to a downward turn in coronavirus-related deaths. So, is the lockdown working? It certainly is a positive sign. While promising, it’s important to remember that these are early signs.  A tough week is still ahead with positives cases and deaths expected to hit their peak in the United States this week.

LATEST FACTS:

  • At Thursday’s open, the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 4.0%, nearly 850 points, while the S&P 500 was up 3.8% and the Nasdaq Composite gained 3.7%.
  • New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo cited lower rates for the state’s number of coronavirus deaths and new cases.
  • “Data suggests NY state might peak sooner than Cuomo’s optimistic case,” Tom Lee, head of research at Fundstrat, said in a client note. “With better visibility on the healthcare crisis in the US, particularly, on the potential to model a national peak, we believe buyers are now taking control.”
  • JPMorgan JPM CEO Jamie Dimon took a less optimistic approach, warning of a “bad recession combined with financial stress similar to the global financial crisis of 2008” in a shareholder letter.

At the moment, there are more than 337,000 confirmed cases in the U.S.  and over 9,600 deaths. The stock market ended last week down only 2.6%.  Weekly jobless claims surged to 6.6 million—the highest level ever recorded. Some 10 million Americans filed for unemployment in the last two weeks alone.